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Primeiro de Maio vs Guelson

Angola Angola

Girabola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Primeiro de Maio in this Girabola matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primeiro de Maio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Primeiro de Maio
6%
Draws
4%
Guelson
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Primeiro de Maio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Primeiro de Maio have won more games recently than Guelson.
  • Win probability leans Primeiro de Maio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Girabola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Primeiro de Maio Clean Sheet 68%
Guelson Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primeiro de Maio Guelson
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Guelson
4:1
Jan 16, 2026 Girabola
Guelson vs Primeiro de Maio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primeiro de Maio 95 / 100
Guelson 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primeiro de Maio Guelson

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primeiro de Maio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Primeiro de Maio's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Guelson conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Primeiro de Maio VS Guelson
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primeiro de Maio

(Home)
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
20 May
Primeiro de Maio
0 : 0
Desportivo Huila
16 May
Petro Atletico
0 : 0
Primeiro de Maio
10 May
Academica
0 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
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Guelson

(Away)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petro Atletico30226263:1572
2Wiliete30188449:2962
3Primeiro de Agosto301512347:2257
4Desportivo Huila301210835:2646
5Kabuscorp301012826:2242
6Bravos do Maquis301261233:3042
7Interclube30913835:2840
8CD Lunda Sul3010101027:2840
9Primeiro de Maio301071329:3337
10Sagrada308111133:4035
11Sao Salvador30981327:3335
12Academica308111125:3035
13C.R.D. Libolo30971426:3734
14Luanda City30961521:4533
15Redonda30561915:4721
16Guelson30632124:5021
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)