Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primeiro de Maio vs Guelson

Angola Angola

Girabola 2025/2026
Primeiro de Maio Logo

Primeiro de Maio

4 - 1
FT
Guelson Logo

Guelson

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Primeiro de Maio in this Girabola 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primeiro de Maio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Primeiro de Maio
15%
Draws
39%
Guelson
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Primeiro de Maio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Primeiro de Maio have won more games recently than Guelson.
  • Win probability leans Primeiro de Maio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Girabola 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Primeiro de Maio Clean Sheet 68%
Guelson Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primeiro de Maio Guelson
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Guelson
4:1
Jan 16, 2026 Girabola
Guelson vs Primeiro de Maio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primeiro de Maio 95 / 100
Guelson 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primeiro de Maio Guelson

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primeiro de Maio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Primeiro de Maio scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Guelson's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Primeiro de Maio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Primeiro de Maio VS Guelson
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primeiro de Maio

(Home)
21 Sept
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 0
CD Lunda Sul
12 Sept
C.R.D. Libolo
2 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
27 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
23 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 1
Kabuscorp
Page 1 of 6

Guelson

(Away)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 22 6 2 63:15 72
2 Wiliete 30 18 8 4 49:29 62
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 15 12 3 47:22 57
4 Desportivo Huila 30 12 10 8 35:26 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 6 12 33:30 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:28 40
8 CD Lunda Sul 30 10 10 10 27:28 40
9 Primeiro de Maio 30 10 7 13 29:33 37
10 Sagrada 30 8 11 11 33:40 35
11 Sao Salvador 30 9 8 13 27:33 35
12 Academica 30 8 11 11 25:30 35
13 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 7 14 26:37 34
14 Luanda City 30 9 6 15 21:45 33
15 Redonda 30 5 6 19 15:47 21
16 Guelson 30 6 3 21 24:50 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)