Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primeiro de Maio vs Sagrada

Angola Angola

Girabola 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Primeiro de Maio in this Girabola 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primeiro de Maio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Primeiro de Maio
20%
Draws
29%
Sagrada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primeiro de Maio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Primeiro de Maio lately — more wins on the board than Sagrada.
  • Primeiro de Maio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Primeiro de Maio Clean Sheet 68%
Sagrada Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primeiro de Maio Sagrada
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Girabola
Sagrada vs Primeiro de Maio
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Sagrada
2:1
Apr 4, 2020 Girabola
Sagrada vs Primeiro de Maio
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Sagrada
1:0
Jul 8, 2018 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Sagrada
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primeiro de Maio 68 / 100
Sagrada 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primeiro de Maio Sagrada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primeiro de Maio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primeiro de Maio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sagrada conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Primeiro de Maio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Primeiro de Maio VS Sagrada
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primeiro de Maio

(Home)
21 Sept
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 0
CD Lunda Sul
12 Sept
C.R.D. Libolo
2 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
27 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
23 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 1
Kabuscorp
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Sagrada

(Away)
12 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
2 : 1
Sagrada
29 Aug
Sagrada
3 : 1
Sao Salvador
22 Aug
Bravos do Maquis
3 : 0
Sagrada
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 22 6 2 63:15 72
2 Wiliete 30 18 8 4 49:29 62
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 15 12 3 47:22 57
4 Desportivo Huila 30 12 10 8 35:26 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 6 12 33:30 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:28 40
8 CD Lunda Sul 30 10 10 10 27:28 40
9 Primeiro de Maio 30 10 7 13 29:33 37
10 Sagrada 30 8 11 11 33:40 35
11 Sao Salvador 30 9 8 13 27:33 35
12 Academica 30 8 11 11 25:30 35
13 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 7 14 26:37 34
14 Luanda City 30 9 6 15 21:45 33
15 Redonda 30 5 6 19 15:47 21
16 Guelson 30 6 3 21 24:50 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)