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Primorac Biograd vs GOSK Dubrovnik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Primorac Biograd in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primorac Biograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Primorac Biograd
20%
Draws
40%
GOSK Dubrovnik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Primorac Biograd lately — more wins on the board than GOSK Dubrovnik.
  • Primorac Biograd are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Primorac Biograd have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 18%
GOSK Dubrovnik Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primorac Biograd GOSK Dubrovnik
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2022 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs GOSK Dubrovnik
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Primorac Biograd
3:2
May 22, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs GOSK Dubrovnik
2:0
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Primorac Biograd
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primorac Biograd 41 / 100
GOSK Dubrovnik 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primorac Biograd GOSK Dubrovnik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Primorac Biograd found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

GOSK Dubrovnik has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

GOSK Dubrovnik lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Primorac Biograd VS GOSK Dubrovnik
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Primorac Biograd

(Home)
30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2
Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4
Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
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GOSK Dubrovnik

(Away)
24 Jan
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2
Jadran Luka Ploce
28 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
08 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)