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Primorac Biograd vs Neretvanac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Primorac Biograd and Neretvanac finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Primorac Biograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Primorac Biograd
20%
Draws
40%
Neretvanac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primorac Biograd come out ahead of Neretvanac on wins alone.
  • Model gives Primorac Biograd a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 18%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primorac Biograd Neretvanac
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.68 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Neretvanac
2:1
Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Primorac Biograd
2:2
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Neretvanac
0:3
Nov 22, 2020 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Primorac Biograd
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primorac Biograd 67 / 100
Neretvanac 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primorac Biograd Neretvanac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primorac Biograd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neretvanac let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Primorac Biograd's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Neretvanac lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Primorac Biograd VS Neretvanac
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primorac Biograd

(Home)
30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2
Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4
Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
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Neretvanac

(Away)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)