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Primorac Biograd vs Radnik Krizevci

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2023/2024
Wed, Aug 30, 2023
0 - 2
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Primorac Biograd play Radnik Krizevci in the Croatian Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Primorac Biograd averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Radnik Krizevci averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Primorac Biograd won 0, Radnik Krizevci won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 30, 2023 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Primorac Biograd and 1.30 for Radnik Krizevci. This points to a Radnik Krizevci double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Primorac Biograd
20%
Draws
43%
Radnik Krizevci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Radnik Krizevci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Primorac Biograd picked up more points recently compared to Radnik Krizevci.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 19%
Radnik Krizevci Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primorac Biograd Radnik Krizevci
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2023 Croatian Cup
Primorac Biograd vs Radnik Krizevci
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primorac Biograd Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Radnik Krizevci Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovac S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Katalenac K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primorac Biograd 37 / 100
Radnik Krizevci 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primorac Biograd Radnik Krizevci

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Radnik Krizevci or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Primorac Biograd attacking → ← attacking Radnik Krizevci

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primorac Biograd scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Radnik Krizevci let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Primorac Biograd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Radnik Krizevci lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63