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Stadium Background

Primorac Biograd vs Sloga Mravince Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Primorac Biograd in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primorac Biograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Primorac Biograd
30%
Draws
47%
Sloga Mravince
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sloga Mravince

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Primorac Biograd lately — more wins on the board than Sloga Mravince.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sloga Mravince taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 13%
Sloga Mravince Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primorac Biograd Sloga Mravince
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Sloga Mravince
4:2
Sep 5, 2021 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Primorac Biograd
4:2
May 1, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Sloga Mravince
2:1
Oct 18, 2020 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Primorac Biograd
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primorac Biograd 22 / 100
Sloga Mravince 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primorac Biograd Sloga Mravince

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloga Mravince Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Primorac Biograd's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sloga Mravince let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Primorac Biograd has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Primorac Biograd VS Sloga Mravince
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primorac Biograd

(Home)
30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2
Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4
Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
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Sloga Mravince

(Away)
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
01 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Sloga Mravince
28 Jul
Omladinac Vranjic
0 : 5
Sloga Mravince
28 May
Zagora
3 : 3
Sloga Mravince
22 May
Sloga Mravince
1 : 2
Hrvace
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)