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Princesa do Solimoes vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Princesa do Solimoes play Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) in the Amazonense 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Princesa do Solimoes averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Princesa do Solimoes won 5, Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2024 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Princesa do Solimoes and 1.25 for Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas). This points to a Princesa do Solimoes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Princesa do Solimoes
16%
Draws
37%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Princesa do Solimoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Princesa do Solimoes picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Princesa do Solimoes Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Princesa do Solimoes Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2024 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:4
Feb 4, 2023 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:0
Mar 15, 2019 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:2
Feb 3, 2019 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
3:0
Mar 31, 2018 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Princesa do Solimoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberto F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Princesa do Solimoes 46 / 100
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Princesa do Solimoes Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Princesa do Solimoes or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Princesa do Solimoes attacking → ← attacking Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Princesa do Solimoes scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Princesa do Solimoes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 39
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Amazonas861117:319
2Manauara852121:617
3Princesa do Solimoes842210:714
4Manaus FC83417:513
5Nacional-AM (Manaus)82519:811
6Parintins82336:109
7Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)81437:107
8Operario Esporte Clube80261:142
9Iranduba80354:193
10Fast Clube00000:00