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Princesa do Solimoes vs Itacoatiara

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes Logo

Princesa do Solimoes

3 - 1
FT
Itacoatiara Logo

Itacoatiara

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Dias Monteiro F.
72' Event
Alves G.
(Penalty)
85' Event
Allyson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Princesa do Solimoes in this Amazonense matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Princesa do Solimoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Princesa do Solimoes
30%
Draws
23%
Itacoatiara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Princesa do Solimoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Princesa do Solimoes have won more games recently than Itacoatiara.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Princesa do Solimoes taking it.
  • Regular Amazonense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Princesa do Solimoes have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Princesa do Solimoes Clean Sheet 20%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Princesa do Solimoes Itacoatiara
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.53 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Itacoatiara
3:1
Mar 9, 2022 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:9
Apr 5, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:3
Apr 3, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Princesa do Solimoes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Princesa do Solimoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias Monteiro F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allyson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Itacoatiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Princesa do Solimoes 42 / 100
Itacoatiara 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Princesa do Solimoes Itacoatiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itacoatiara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Princesa do Solimoes scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Itacoatiara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Princesa do Solimoes VS Itacoatiara
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Princesa do Solimoes

(Home)
04 Mar
Parintins
2 : 0
Princesa do Solimoes
01 Mar
Princesa do Solimoes
2 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
21 Feb
Sao Raimundo AM
1 : 2
Princesa do Solimoes
11 Feb
Manaus FC
2 : 1
Princesa do Solimoes
05 Feb
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Princesa do Solimoes
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Itacoatiara

(Away)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonas 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
2 Itacoatiara 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
3 Manauara 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Parintins 4 1 0 3 3:4 3
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Princesa do Solimoes 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Manaus FC 4 2 0 2 4:3 6
4 Sao Raimundo AM 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)