Sport Picks

Zambia

Super League

Nchanga Rangers

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Prison Leopards play Nchanga Rangers in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Prison Leopards averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Nchanga Rangers averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Prison Leopards won 2, Nchanga Rangers won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Prison Leopards and 0.75 for Nchanga Rangers. This points to a Nchanga Rangers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Prison Leopards

27%

Draws

39%

Nchanga Rangers

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Nchanga Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Prison Leopards picked up more points recently compared to Nchanga Rangers.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 56%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 14%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Prison Leopards Clean Sheet 27%

Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Prison Leopards	Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	11
Draws	10	7
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	0.8	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.17	0.8
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Super League

Prison Leopards vs Nchanga Rangers

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Nov 22, 2025 Super League

Nchanga Rangers vs Prison Leopards

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Feb 25, 2023 Super League

Prison Leopards vs Nchanga Rangers

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Oct 15, 2022 Super League

Nchanga Rangers vs Prison Leopards

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prison Leopards 36 / 100

Nchanga Rangers 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Prison Leopards Nchanga Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nchanga Rangers or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +35.2%

5.88

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Prison Leopards attacking → ← attacking Nchanga Rangers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prison Leopards scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Nchanga Rangers let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Prison Leopards went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nchanga Rangers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 40

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25