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Prison Leopards vs Nchanga Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Prison Leopards and Nchanga Rangers finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Prison Leopards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Prison Leopards
15%
Draws
37%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prison Leopards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nchanga Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Prison Leopards's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Prison Leopards Clean Sheet 20%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prison Leopards Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Nchanga Rangers
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Prison Leopards
2:0
Feb 25, 2023 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Nchanga Rangers
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Prison Leopards
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prison Leopards 42 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prison Leopards Nchanga Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Prison Leopards went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Prison Leopards scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Nchanga Rangers has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Prison Leopards VS Nchanga Rangers
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Prison Leopards

(Home)
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
17 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
13 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Prison Leopards
02 May
Prison Leopards
0 : 2
Muza Fc
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Nchanga Rangers

(Away)
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
29 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Nkwazi
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