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Prison Leopards vs Nkwazi

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prison Leopards in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Prison Leopards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Prison Leopards
15%
Draws
37%
Nkwazi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prison Leopards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Prison Leopards average 0.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Nkwazi's 0.62.
  • Prison Leopards are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Prison Leopards Clean Sheet 20%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prison Leopards Nkwazi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Nkwazi
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Nkwazi vs Prison Leopards
2:0
May 25, 2024 Super League
Nkwazi vs Prison Leopards
0:1
Dec 16, 2023 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Nkwazi
0:1
Apr 22, 2023 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Nkwazi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prison Leopards 42 / 100
Nkwazi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prison Leopards Nkwazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nkwazi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Prison Leopards remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Prison Leopards scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Prison Leopards VS Nkwazi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Prison Leopards

(Home)
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
17 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
13 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Prison Leopards
02 May
Prison Leopards
0 : 2
Muza Fc
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Nkwazi

(Away)
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1
Zesco
29 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Nkwazi
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