Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pro Livorno vs Lornano Badesse

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Lucatti G.
40' Event
Lucatti G.
90' Event
Rossi G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lornano Badesse in this Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lornano Badesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pro Livorno
20%
Draws
51%
Lornano Badesse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lornano Badesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lornano Badesse lately — more wins on the board than Pro Livorno.
  • Lornano Badesse are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pro Livorno Clean Sheet 10%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Livorno Lornano Badesse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Pro Livorno vs Lornano Badesse
1:2
Oct 10, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Pro Livorno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Livorno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lornano Badesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Livorno 10 / 100
Lornano Badesse 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Livorno Lornano Badesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Livorno found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Lornano Badesse let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pro Livorno stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pro Livorno VS Lornano Badesse
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Livorno

(Home)
15 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Pianese
08 May
Scandicci
2 : 2
Pro Livorno
01 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Pro Livorno
1 : 0
Tiferno Lerchi
23 Apr
Mobilieri Ponsacco
2 : 0
Pro Livorno
Page 1 of 6

Lornano Badesse

(Away)
15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0
Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0
Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3
Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1
Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 26 3 5 86:30 81
2 Poggibonsi 34 23 5 6 61:28 74
3 Arezzo 34 18 10 6 65:45 64
4 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 9 7 63:30 63
5 Pianese 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
6 Lornano Badesse 34 15 9 10 47:43 54
7 Sporting Trestina 34 13 10 11 48:43 49
8 Flaminia 34 13 7 14 49:50 46
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 10 12 12 36:48 42
10 Montespaccato 34 11 9 14 43:44 42
11 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 11 9 14 39:40 42
12 Sangiovannese 34 9 14 11 37:39 41
13 Scandicci 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
14 FC Rieti 34 9 8 17 39:58 35
15 Foligno 34 9 8 17 46:65 35
16 Unipomezia 34 8 7 19 38:64 31
17 Cannara 34 5 9 20 27:52 24
18 Pro Livorno 34 5 6 23 31:84 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)