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Pro Palazzolo vs Crema

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Capone A.
67' Event
Minessi A.
84' Event
Vailati M.

AI Match Summary

Pro Palazzolo in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Palazzolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pro Palazzolo
20%
Draws
29%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Palazzolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Crema haven't matched Pro Palazzolo's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Pro Palazzolo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Pro Palazzolo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 19%
Crema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Palazzolo Crema
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.48 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Palazzolo vs Crema
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Pro Palazzolo
1:5
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Pro Palazzolo
1:2
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Pro Palazzolo vs Crema
6:2
Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Pro Palazzolo vs Crema
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Capone A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minessi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Vailati M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Palazzolo 36 / 100
Crema 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Palazzolo Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Pro Palazzolo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Crema conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Pro Palazzolo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pro Palazzolo VS Crema
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Palazzolo

(Home)
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
01 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 1
Union Brescia
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Crema

(Away)
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1
Crema
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)