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Pro Palazzolo vs Lentigione Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Alessandrini S.
30' Event
Mele M.
90' Event
Capone A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Pro Palazzolo and Lentigione finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pro Palazzolo
20%
Draws
40%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pro Palazzolo haven't matched Lentigione's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pro Palazzolo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lentigione have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 68%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Palazzolo Lentigione
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.31 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo
3:2
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Palazzolo vs Lentigione
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Capone A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Alessandrini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mele M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Palazzolo 50 / 100
Lentigione 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Palazzolo Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Palazzolo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Palazzolo's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Lentigione let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Pro Palazzolo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pro Palazzolo VS Lentigione
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Palazzolo

(Home)
04 Oct
Brusaporto
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
27 Sept
Scanzorosciate
1 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 7

Lentigione

(Away)
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)