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Pro Palazzolo vs Tropical Coriano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Cristini F.
87' Event
Malo A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pro Palazzolo
20%
Draws
23%
Tropical Coriano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Palazzolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pro Palazzolo lately — more wins on the board than Tropical Coriano.
  • Pro Palazzolo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 20%
Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Palazzolo Tropical Coriano
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Palazzolo vs Tropical Coriano
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tropical Coriano vs Pro Palazzolo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristini F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Malo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Palazzolo 58 / 100
Tropical Coriano 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Palazzolo Tropical Coriano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Palazzolo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Pro Palazzolo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Tropical Coriano conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pro Palazzolo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pro Palazzolo VS Tropical Coriano
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Palazzolo

(Home)
04 Oct
Brusaporto
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
27 Sept
Scanzorosciate
1 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 7

Tropical Coriano

(Away)
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)