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Pro Patria vs Grumellese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pro Patria in this Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Patria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pro Patria
30%
Draws
31%
Grumellese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pro Patria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pro Patria have won more games recently than Grumellese.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Pro Patria taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 18%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Patria Grumellese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Pro Patria vs Grumellese
1:0
Sep 17, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Pro Patria
0:1
Sep 13, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Pro Patria vs Grumellese
0:0
Mar 29, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Pro Patria vs Grumellese
3:3
Nov 6, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Pro Patria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Patria 85 / 100
Grumellese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Patria Grumellese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Patria found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Grumellese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Pro Patria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pro Patria VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Patria

(Home)
07 Oct
Varese FC
2 : 5
Pro Patria
04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0
Pro Patria
27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1
Solbiatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
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Grumellese

(Away)
06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1
Lecco
29 Apr
Darfo Boario
0 : 1
Grumellese
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
15 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 0
Grumellese
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2
Trento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pro Patria 36 23 10 3 58:22 79
2 Rezzato 36 24 6 6 84:35 78
3 Ponte San Pietro 36 21 7 8 67:44 70
4 Pergolettese 36 19 10 7 57:37 67
5 Darfo Boario 36 18 8 10 51:30 62
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 36 18 4 14 57:46 58
7 Lecco 36 16 10 10 46:35 58
8 Crema 36 13 9 14 43:40 48
9 Bustese Milano City 36 12 11 13 44:43 47
10 Caravaggio 36 12 11 13 47:52 47
11 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 12 9 15 47:46 45
12 Levico Terme 36 11 11 14 45:56 44
13 Trento 36 12 7 17 42:64 43
14 Scanzorosciate 36 12 7 17 41:51 43
15 Lumezzane 36 11 9 16 37:51 42
16 Ciserano 36 8 12 16 42:58 36
17 Grumellese 36 9 7 20 34:55 34
18 USD Dro 36 6 13 17 33:62 31
19 Calcio Romanese 36 2 5 29 30:78 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 (Play Offs)