Sport Picks
Pro Patria vs Lecco
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sipos L.
30'
30'
Duca E.
41'
41'
Urso O.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pro Patria and Lecco finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pro Patria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lecco come out ahead of Pro Patria on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pro Patria's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lecco have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 68%
Lecco Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pro Patria | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.43 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Lecco
1:4
Nov 16, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pro Patria
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pro Patria
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Lecco
2:1
Apr 8, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pro Patria
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pro Patria Compare
Top Goalscorer Mastroianni F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Lecco Compare
Top Goalscorer Sipos L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Duca E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pro Patria 86 / 100
Lecco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pro Patria Lecco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pro Patria scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Lecco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Pro Patria has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pro Patria VS Lecco
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pro Patria
(Home) 25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3 Arzignano
13 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
2 : 4 Pro Patria
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1 Triestina
28 Mar
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 6
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3 Arzignano
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1 Triestina
22 Mar
Pro Patria
1 : 4 Lecco
07 Mar
Pro Patria
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
28 Feb
Pro Patria
2 : 2 Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 3
Lecco
(Away) 05 Aug
Lecco
0 : 3 Inter U23
02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0 Lecco
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1 Pianese
Page 1 of 7
02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0 Lecco
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
25 Apr
Pergolettese
3 : 0 Lecco
10 Apr
Alcione Milano
0 : 2 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
