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Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Desogus J.
30'
Sassaro A.
46'
Sub
Ballarini M. In: Caia F.
Out: Ballarini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pro Patria and Virtus Verona finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Pro Patria
20%
Draws
32%
Virtus Verona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Patria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Pro Patria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pro Patria's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Patria Virtus Verona
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 2
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.29 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Pro Patria
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Pro Patria
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Patria Compare

Top Goalscorer Desogus J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Udoh K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Virtus Verona Compare

Top Goalscorer Cernigoi I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Patria 59 / 100
Virtus Verona 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Patria Virtus Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Verona has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Pro Patria's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Pro Patria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pro Patria VS Virtus Verona
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Patria

(Home)
27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1
Solbiatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Verona

(Away)
27 Sept
Virtus Verona
0 : 1
Pavonese
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)