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Pro Sesto vs Lentigione - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Jassey Y.
20' Event
Zazzi F.
45' Event
Battistello A.

AI Match Summary

Lentigione in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Pro Sesto
20%
Draws
28%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lentigione have won more games recently than Pro Sesto.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 20%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Sesto Lentigione
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.59 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Lentigione
2:3
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Pro Sesto
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Lentigione
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Zazzi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morello M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Jassey Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Battistello A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Sesto 32 / 100
Lentigione 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Sesto Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Pro Sesto has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pro Sesto's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lentigione's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pro Sesto VS Lentigione
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Sesto

(Home)
04 Oct
Arconatese
1 : 1
Pro Sesto
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
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Lentigione

(Away)
07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3
Piacenza
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)