Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D Stadio Ernesto Breda

Pro Sesto

2 - 1

Tropical Coriano

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Pedone A.

88'

Banfi S.

90'

Pacchioni G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pro Sesto in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Sesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Pro Sesto

39%

Draws

30%

Tropical Coriano

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Pro Sesto lately — more wins on the board than Tropical Coriano.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 17%

Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pro Sesto	Tropical Coriano
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	6
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	16
Goals Scored	1.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Pro Sesto vs Tropical Coriano

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Tropical Coriano vs Pro Sesto

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedone A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Banfi S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacchioni G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Sesto 31 / 100

Tropical Coriano 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pro Sesto Tropical Coriano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tropical Coriano conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Pro Sesto found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Pro Sesto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pro Sesto VS Tropical Coriano

1.13 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8