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Pro Sesto vs Varese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Pro Sesto
20%
Draws
19%
Varese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Pro Sesto have won more games recently than Varese.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Pro Sesto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 18%
Varese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Sesto Varese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 15
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Pro Sesto vs Varese
0:0
Sep 17, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Pro Sesto
4:3
Mar 26, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Pro Sesto vs Varese
0:2
Nov 13, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Pro Sesto
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Sesto 85 / 100
Varese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Sesto Varese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Pro Sesto remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Pro Sesto found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Varese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pro Sesto VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Sesto

(Home)
04 Oct
Arconatese
1 : 1
Pro Sesto
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

Varese

(Away)
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0
Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1
Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1
AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1
Varese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)