Sport Picks
Pro Vercelli vs Desenzano Calvina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli 
Match Events
28'
28'
Pagliari M.
46'
46'
Sub
Boufandar A. In: el Bakkali Z.
Out: Boufandar A.
46'
46'
Sub
Pagliari M. In: Carosso A.
Out: Pagliari M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Desenzano Calvina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Desenzano Calvina have won more games recently than Pro Vercelli.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 20%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pro Vercelli | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Desenzano Calvina
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pro Vercelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Sow O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Desenzano Calvina Compare
Top Goalscorer Ubaldi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pro Vercelli 32 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pro Vercelli Desenzano Calvina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pro Vercelli scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Pro Vercelli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Desenzano Calvina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Pro Vercelli VS Desenzano Calvina
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pro Vercelli
(Home) 03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0 Carpi
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1 Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0 Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0 Carpi
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
23 Aug
Pro Vercelli
1 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
14 Aug
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 3
Desenzano Calvina
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
