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Probiy Horodenka vs Livyi Bereg

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Wendell
28'
Kharuk R.
30'
Wendell

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Probiy Horodenka and Livyi Bereg finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Livyi Bereg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Probiy Horodenka
11%
Draws
80%
Livyi Bereg
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Livyi Bereg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Livyi Bereg come out ahead of Probiy Horodenka on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Livyi Bereg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 19%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Probiy Horodenka Livyi Bereg
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 0.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Livyi Bereg
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg vs Probiy Horodenka
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Probiy Horodenka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.33
Avg xA / game 0.21

Livyi Bereg Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Probiy Horodenka 12 / 100
Livyi Bereg 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Probiy Horodenka Livyi Bereg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Probiy Horodenka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Probiy Horodenka found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Livyi Bereg has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Probiy Horodenka VS Livyi Bereg
0.43 Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.38
29% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Probiy Horodenka

(Home)
01 Jun
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
23 May
Victoria
0 : 1
Probiy Horodenka
17 May
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Probiy Horodenka
10 May
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 May
Inhulets
3 : 1
Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 6

Livyi Bereg

(Away)
21 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 2
Obolon
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1
FC Chernihiv
14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Victoria
11 Jul
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0
Kudrivka
09 Jun
Livyi Bereg
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)