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Progres Niedercorn vs Dudelange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Baradji I.
46'
Sub
Monteiro D. In: Dinho
Out: Monteiro D.
46'
Sub
Goncalves Tavares R. In: Pianelli-Balisoni A.
Out: Goncalves Tavares R.

AI Match Summary

Dudelange in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dudelange.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Progres Niedercorn
6%
Draws
90%
Dudelange
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dudelange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dudelange has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Progres Niedercorn.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Dudelange.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in BGL Ligue 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 11%
Dudelange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progres Niedercorn Dudelange
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Dudelange
2:4
Aug 2, 2025 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs Progres Niedercorn
4:3
Apr 19, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Dudelange
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs Progres Niedercorn
1:0
May 18, 2024 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs Progres Niedercorn
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progres Niedercorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Baradji I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dudelange Compare

Top Goalscorer Englaro I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progres Niedercorn 10 / 100
Dudelange 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progres Niedercorn Dudelange

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progres Niedercorn scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Dudelange let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Progres Niedercorn went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Dudelange lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progres Niedercorn VS Dudelange
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bissen30205570:2765
2Differdange30198363:2265
3Mondorf30193851:2460
4UNA Strassen30177657:2658
5Dudelange30177659:3858
6Jeunesse Esch3010101035:3440
7Racing Luxembourg301171248:5040
8Kaerjeng301151443:4838
9Hostert301061435:5636
10Victoria Rosport301051533:5035
11Progres Niedercorn30971444:4734
12Hesperange30951631:4632
13Jeunesse Canach30941729:4431
14FC Mamer30851733:5929
15Union Titus Petange30671726:4925
16FC Rodange 9130671728:6525