Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Maquart T.
Assist: Schmitz K.
67'
67'
Hadji S.
Assist: Delgado R.
80'
80'
Bouche Y.
Assist: Hadji S.
AI Match Summary
The BGL Ligue game between Progres Niedercorn and Jeunesse Esch finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progres Niedercorn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jeunesse Esch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jeunesse Esch come out ahead of Progres Niedercorn on wins alone.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Jeunesse Esch taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%
Jeunesse Esch Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Progres Niedercorn | Jeunesse Esch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 36 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Jeunesse Esch
2:1
May 17, 2026 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niedercorn
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Jeunesse Esch
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Progres Niedercorn vs Jeunesse Esch
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niedercorn
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Progres Niedercorn Compare
Top Goalscorer Hadji S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bouche Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Jeunesse Esch Compare
Top Goalscorer Maquart T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Progres Niedercorn 10 / 100
Jeunesse Esch 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Progres Niedercorn Jeunesse Esch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JEU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Progres Niedercorn scored in 79% of their last 38 outings.
Jeunesse Esch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Progres Niedercorn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Progres Niedercorn VS Jeunesse Esch
1 Goals Scored 2.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Progres Niedercorn
(Home) 01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
25 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 1 Virton
22 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 5 APM Metz
18 Jul
Dijon
4 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
11 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 5 Thionville
Page 1 of 8
01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
25 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 1 Virton
22 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 5 APM Metz
11 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 5 Thionville
27 Jun
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 3 Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 4
Jeunesse Esch
(Away) 01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
25 Jul
Berdenia Berbourg
2 : 4 Jeunesse Esch
22 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 0 Koeppchen
21 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
4 : 1 Avenir Beggen
18 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
3 : 0 US Feulen
Page 1 of 8
01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
25 Jul
Berdenia Berbourg
2 : 4 Jeunesse Esch
15 Jul
FC Residence Walferdange
3 : 2 Jeunesse Esch
23 May
Kaerjeng
0 : 2 Jeunesse Esch
10 May
UNA Strassen
3 : 0 Jeunesse Esch
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Luxembourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | UNA Strassen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bissen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Mondorf | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Residence Walferdange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 | Progres Niedercorn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rumelange | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ettelbruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Differdange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 11 | Hostert | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 12 | Jeunesse Esch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Dudelange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 14 | Kaerjeng | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 15 | Victoria Rosport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Hesperange | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -12 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)
