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Progresso Sambizanga vs Caala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angola Angola

Girabola 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

Caala in this Girabola 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Progresso Sambizanga
20%
Draws
64%
Caala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caala lately — more wins on the board than Progresso Sambizanga.
  • Model gives Caala a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Girabola 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Caala here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Progresso Sambizanga Clean Sheet 14%
Caala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresso Sambizanga Caala
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Girabola
Progresso Sambizanga vs Caala
0:1
Dec 15, 2021 Girabola
Caala vs Progresso Sambizanga
3:0
May 24, 2021 Girabola
Progresso Sambizanga vs Caala
0:3
Jan 24, 2021 Girabola
Caala vs Progresso Sambizanga
3:0
Apr 11, 2020 Girabola
Caala vs Progresso Sambizanga
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresso Sambizanga 10 / 100
Caala 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresso Sambizanga Caala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Caala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Progresso Sambizanga scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Caala conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Progresso Sambizanga VS Caala
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresso Sambizanga

(Home)
28 May
Kabuscorp
4 : 0
Progresso Sambizanga
23 May
Progresso Sambizanga
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
08 May
Primeiro de Agosto
5 : 0
Progresso Sambizanga
23 Apr
Progresso Sambizanga
0 : 1
Caala
17 Apr
Cuando Cubango FC
2 : 1
Progresso Sambizanga
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Caala

(Away)
20 Sept
Caala
1 : 2
Bravos do Maquis
13 Sept
Caala
1 : 2
Desportivo Huila
05 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
1 : 2
Caala
27 Aug
Caala
1 : 2
Wiliete
23 Aug
FC Luanda
0 : 0
Caala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 23 6 1 74:17 75
2 Primeiro de Agosto 30 18 7 5 55:21 61
3 Sagrada 30 18 6 6 49:22 60
4 Interclube 30 14 8 8 41:28 50
5 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 10 8 34:31 46
6 Desportivo Huila 30 12 9 9 40:34 45
7 Caala 30 11 9 10 30:19 42
8 Academica 30 10 10 10 38:31 40
9 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
10 Cuando Cubango FC 30 9 9 12 22:33 36
11 Wiliete 30 7 13 10 38:40 34
12 Sporting de Cabinda 30 8 9 13 20:37 33
13 CD Lunda Sul 30 6 14 10 24:30 32
14 Kabuscorp 30 6 11 13 31:40 20
15 Progresso Sambizanga 30 4 7 19 22:61 19
16 Sporting de Benguela 30 1 6 23 15:86 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2022/2023 (Qualification)