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Progresso Sambizanga vs Santos

Angola Angola

Girabola 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresso Sambizanga in this Girabola 2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresso Sambizanga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Progresso Sambizanga
15%
Draws
64%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Santos haven't matched Progresso Sambizanga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santos's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Girabola 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Progresso Sambizanga Clean Sheet 17%
Santos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresso Sambizanga Santos
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.84 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2013 Girabola
Progresso Sambizanga vs Santos
2:0
May 26, 2013 Girabola
Santos vs Progresso Sambizanga
0:1
Aug 18, 2012 Girabola
Santos vs Progresso Sambizanga
0:0
Apr 16, 2012 Girabola
Progresso Sambizanga vs Santos
3:2
Jul 10, 2011 Girabola
Progresso Sambizanga vs Santos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresso Sambizanga 20 / 100
Santos 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresso Sambizanga Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Santos has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Progresso Sambizanga scored in 57% of their last 37 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresso Sambizanga VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresso Sambizanga

(Home)
28 May
Kabuscorp
4 : 0
Progresso Sambizanga
23 May
Progresso Sambizanga
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
08 May
Primeiro de Agosto
5 : 0
Progresso Sambizanga
23 Apr
Progresso Sambizanga
0 : 1
Caala
17 Apr
Cuando Cubango FC
2 : 1
Progresso Sambizanga
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Santos

(Away)
03 Nov
Atletico do Namibe
0 : 1
Santos
26 Oct
Santos
0 : 3
Kabuscorp
20 Oct
Progresso Sambizanga
2 : 0
Santos
13 Oct
Santos
0 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
05 Oct
Sagrada
3 : 1
Santos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kabuscorp 30 22 7 1 53:16 73
2 Primeiro de Agosto 30 17 7 6 43:22 58
3 Bravos do Maquis 30 14 10 6 39:22 52
4 Petro Atletico 30 13 7 10 36:22 46
5 Sagrada 30 11 13 6 35:27 46
6 Desportivo Huila 30 10 12 8 37:32 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:34 40
8 C.R.D. Libolo 30 10 9 11 33:32 39
9 Progresso Sambizanga 30 10 8 12 33:33 38
10 Benfica Luanda 30 7 14 9 29:30 35
11 Caala 30 8 10 12 30:36 34
12 Primeiro de Maio 30 8 8 14 24:39 32
13 ASA 30 8 8 14 27:38 32
14 Porcelana 30 8 7 15 26:41 31
15 Atletico do Namibe 30 6 8 16 27:60 26
16 Santos 30 6 5 19 26:49 23
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