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Progresso vs Atl. Roraima

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Progresso Logo

Progresso

0 - 0
FT
Atl. Roraima Logo

Atl. Roraima

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Roraimense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Progresso
15%
Draws
12%
Atl. Roraima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Atl. Roraima have won more games recently than Progresso.
  • Model gives Progresso a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Roraimense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Roraima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresso Atl. Roraima
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 0.63 0.8
Goals Conceded 3.9 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Progresso
1:4
Mar 11, 2025 Roraimense
Progresso vs Atl. Roraima
0:0
Apr 27, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Progresso
1:0
May 2, 2023 Roraimense
Progresso vs Atl. Roraima
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresso 83 / 100
Atl. Roraima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresso Atl. Roraima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Roraima has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Atl. Roraima has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Progresso scored in 30% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresso VS Atl. Roraima
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 5.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresso

(Home)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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Atl. Roraima

(Away)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
21 Feb
Sao Raimundo RR
11 : 0
Atl. Roraima
14 Feb
Monte Roraima
5 : 1
Atl. Roraima
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
2 Bare 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
3 Monte Roraima 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Sao Raimundo RR 7 4 1 2 15:7 13
5 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Nautico FC 7 1 1 5 9:22 4
7 Atl. Roraima 7 0 3 4 3:20 3
8 Progresso 7 0 2 5 1:19 2
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)