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Progresso vs River Esporte Clube Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Pedro Souza
39' Event
Lucas Cipoal
42' Event
Flavio Tico

AI Match Summary

River Esporte Clube in this Roraimense matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored River Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Progresso
15%
Draws
53%
River Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • River Esporte Clube have won more games recently than Progresso.
  • Win probability leans River Esporte Clube's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and River Esporte Clube have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%
River Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresso River Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 2 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0.63 2.08
Goals Conceded 3.9 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Roraimense
Progresso vs River Esporte Clube
0:7
Mar 27, 2024 Roraimense
River Esporte Clube vs Progresso
4:0
Mar 31, 2023 Roraimense
Progresso vs River Esporte Clube
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

River Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Souza
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Cipoal
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresso 10 / 100
River Esporte Clube 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresso River Esporte Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River Esporte Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

River Esporte Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

Attacking prowess: Progresso scored in 30% of their last 30 outings.

Progresso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresso VS River Esporte Clube
0.13 Goals Scored 2.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresso

(Home)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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River Esporte Clube

(Away)
15 Mar
River Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Nautico FC
10 Mar
River Esporte Clube
1 : 1
Monte Roraima
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Bare
2 : 1
River Esporte Clube
16 Feb
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
River Esporte Clube
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 8 6 2 0 28:5 20
2 Monte Roraima 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
4 Bare 8 5 0 3 17:7 15
5 River Esporte Clube 8 4 3 1 22:8 15
6 Progresso 8 2 0 6 8:25 6
7 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
8 Nautico FC 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
9 Atl. Roraima 8 0 1 7 5:34 1
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)