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Stadium Background

Progresul Cernica vs CSM Alexandria

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2012/2013
Progresul Cernica Logo

Progresul Cernica

2 - 0
FT
CSM Alexandria Logo

CSM Alexandria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Progresul Cernica in this Liga 3 - Seria 3 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Cernica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Progresul Cernica
15%
Draws
85%
CSM Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria have won more games recently than Progresul Cernica.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CSM Alexandria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Progresul Cernica Clean Sheet 19%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Cernica CSM Alexandria
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 6 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.84 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 3
CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Cernica
3:0
Oct 19, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Cernica vs CSM Alexandria
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Cernica 10 / 100
CSM Alexandria 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Cernica CSM Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CSM Alexandria conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Progresul Cernica found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).

Difficult form: CSM Alexandria registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CSM Alexandria
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Cernica

(Home)
16 Jul
Viitorul Buzau
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
11 Apr
Progresul Cernica
0 : 3
Axintele
04 Apr
Voluntari
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
28 Mar
Progresul Cernica
0 : 3
Afumati
22 Mar
Rapid Fetesti
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
Page 1 of 7

CSM Alexandria

(Away)
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berceni 24 18 3 3 52:22 57
2 FC Caracal 24 12 6 6 32:20 42
3 Balotesti 24 12 5 7 37:23 41
4 Inter Clinceni 24 10 5 9 27:34 35
5 Stefanesti 24 12 5 7 37:26 32
6 Progresul Cernica 24 10 2 12 33:37 32
7 Voluntari 24 7 10 7 30:25 31
8 Afumati 24 10 8 6 50:28 29
9 Visina Noua 24 8 9 7 35:27 24
10 Viitorul Domnesti 24 10 2 12 27:38 23
11 CSM Alexandria 24 4 6 14 26:43 18
12 Concordia 2 24 2 6 16 18:57 12
13 Tunari 24 5 5 14 31:55 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie 1 2013/2014 (Main)