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Progresul Ezeris vs Aurul Brad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023 game between Progresul Ezeris and Aurul Brad finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurul Brad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Progresul Ezeris
15%
Draws
85%
Aurul Brad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurul Brad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aurul Brad come out ahead of Progresul Ezeris on wins alone.
  • Aurul Brad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Progresul Ezeris Clean Sheet 10%
Aurul Brad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Ezeris Aurul Brad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.83 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Progresul Ezeris vs Aurul Brad
2:5
Apr 28, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Aurul Brad vs Progresul Ezeris
0:0
Mar 17, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Progresul Ezeris vs Aurul Brad
1:2
Oct 14, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Aurul Brad vs Progresul Ezeris
1:1
May 28, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Aurul Brad vs Progresul Ezeris
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Ezeris 10 / 100
Aurul Brad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Ezeris Aurul Brad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurul Brad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aurul Brad conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Aurul Brad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Progresul Ezeris found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Progresul Ezeris VS Aurul Brad
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Ezeris

(Home)
02 Aug
Progresul Ezeris
:
Vointa Lupac
27 May
Progresul Ezeris
2 : 5
Aurul Brad
19 May
Viitorul Targu Jiu II
4 : 2
Progresul Ezeris
12 May
Progresul Ezeris
2 : 5
Vointa Lupac
06 May
Retezatul Hateg
5 : 1
Progresul Ezeris
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Aurul Brad

(Away)
02 Aug
Orasului Geoagiu
3 : 1
Aurul Brad
27 May
Progresul Ezeris
2 : 5
Aurul Brad
20 May
Aurul Brad
1 : 5
Vointa Lupac
12 May
Jiul Petrosani
0 : 3
Aurul Brad
06 May
Aurul Brad
0 : 1
Viitorul Targu Jiu II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Deva 18 14 4 0 62:9 46
2 CSO Filiasi 18 12 1 5 45:28 37
3 Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 18 11 3 4 31:23 36
4 Viitorul Simian 18 11 1 6 49:29 34
5 Jiul Petrosani 18 8 4 6 31:21 28
6 Vointa Lupac 18 8 3 7 30:23 27
7 Aurul Brad 18 4 2 12 27:56 14
8 Retezatul Hateg 18 3 4 11 23:34 13
9 Viitorul Targu Jiu II 18 3 2 13 19:62 11
10 Progresul Ezeris 18 2 4 12 11:43 10
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)