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Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Fundulea in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Fundulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Progresul Fundulea
15%
Draws
51%
Axiopolis Cernavoda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Axiopolis Cernavoda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Progresul Fundulea have won more games recently than Axiopolis Cernavoda.
  • Progresul Fundulea are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Progresul Fundulea have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 13%
Axiopolis Cernavoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Fundulea Axiopolis Cernavoda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.28 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
4:0
May 9, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
3:1
Nov 15, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Progresul Fundulea
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Fundulea 40 / 100
Axiopolis Cernavoda 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Fundulea Axiopolis Cernavoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Fundulea's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Axiopolis Cernavoda has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Progresul Fundulea stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Fundulea VS Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Fundulea

(Home)
03 Oct
Progresul Fundulea
2 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Unirea Branistea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
12 Sept
Agricola Borcea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
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Axiopolis Cernavoda

(Away)
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Unirea Branistea
3 : 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 : 3
Agricola Borcea
11 Sept
Otelul 2
0 : 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 7 6 0 1 19:9 18
2 Agigea 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
3 Inainte Modelu 7 4 1 2 15:11 13
4 Axiopolis Cernavoda 7 4 1 2 15:12 13
5 Sporting Liesti 7 4 0 3 24:16 12
6 Progresul Fundulea 7 4 0 3 16:12 12
7 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 7 4 0 3 13:14 12
8 Calarasi 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
9 Unirea Branistea 7 3 0 4 13:12 9
10 Gloria Baneasa 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
11 Portul Constanta 7 1 0 6 11:18 3
12 Otelul 2 7 1 0 6 6:20 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)