Sport Picks
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania
Liga 3 - Seria 5 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 - Seria 5 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Cetatea Turnu Magurele at 1.94 per game, Progresul Mogosoaia at 1.43.
- Win probability leans Cetatea Turnu Magurele's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 10%
Cetatea Turnu Magurele Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Progresul Mogosoaia | Cetatea Turnu Magurele |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele
3:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Progresul Mogosoaia 10 / 100
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Progresul Mogosoaia Cetatea Turnu Magurele
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cetatea Turnu Magurele Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Progresul Mogosoaia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Cetatea Turnu Magurele conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Progresul Mogosoaia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Progresul Mogosoaia VS Cetatea Turnu Magurele
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Progresul Mogosoaia
(Home) 26 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 3 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
23 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0 Progresul Mogosoaia
19 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
0 : 3 Din. Bucuresti 2
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2 Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 0 Voluntari 2
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 3 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
19 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
0 : 3 Din. Bucuresti 2
04 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 0 Voluntari 2
12 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 4 Concordia
05 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 0 AS Vointa Crevedia
Page 1 of 3
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
(Away) 26 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 3 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
22 Sept
Din. Bucuresti 2
1 : 3 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
18 Sept
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
2 : 2 Voluntari 2
11 Sept
Adunatii-Copaceni
1 : 0 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
04 Sept
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
9 : 0 FCSB 2
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 3 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
22 Sept
Din. Bucuresti 2
1 : 3 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
11 Sept
Adunatii-Copaceni
1 : 0 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
29 Aug
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2 : 0 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
05 Aug
Dunarea Giurgiu
2 : 1 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 14 |
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 3 | SCM Dunarea Giurgiu | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 4 | CSM Alexandria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 5 | Adunatii-Copaceni | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Din. Bucuresti 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 |
| 8 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 9 | Progresul Spartac | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Voluntari 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 12 | FCSB 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)
