Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Mogosoaia vs Stefanesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stefanesti in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stefanesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Progresul Mogosoaia
15%
Draws
20%
Stefanesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Mogosoaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stefanesti lately — more wins on the board than Progresul Mogosoaia.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Mogosoaia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 20%
Stefanesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Mogosoaia Stefanesti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Stefanesti
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Stefanesti vs Progresul Mogosoaia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Mogosoaia 85 / 100
Stefanesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Mogosoaia Stefanesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Mogosoaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Progresul Mogosoaia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stefanesti conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Progresul Mogosoaia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Mogosoaia VS Stefanesti
1.71 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Mogosoaia

(Home)
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 0
Voluntari 2
28 Aug
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
12 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 4
Concordia
05 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 0
AS Vointa Crevedia
Page 1 of 6

Stefanesti

(Away)
12 Sept
Politehnica Timisoara
2 : 1
Stefanesti
05 Sept
Stefanesti
1 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
29 Aug
FC Bihor
4 : 0
Stefanesti
22 Aug
Stefanesti
3 : 1
Cetatea Suceava
15 Aug
CSM Resita
2 : 0
Stefanesti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flacara Moreni 22 16 4 2 53:19 52
2 Stefanesti 22 15 4 3 54:26 49
3 Olimpic Zarnesti 22 12 6 4 59:37 42
4 Urban Titu 22 8 5 9 30:37 29
5 Tricolorul Breaza 22 8 4 10 27:37 28
6 CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 22 7 7 8 26:38 28
7 CSM Sacele 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
8 Baicoi 22 6 7 9 24:33 25
9 Progresul Mogosoaia 22 7 3 12 30:34 24
10 AS Vointa Crevedia 22 6 5 11 24:35 23
11 Kids Tampa Brasov 22 6 5 11 28:40 23
12 FC Pucioasa 22 6 2 14 29:39 20
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)