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Progresul Mogosoaia vs Urban Titu

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Urban Titu in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urban Titu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Progresul Mogosoaia
30%
Draws
29%
Urban Titu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Progresul Mogosoaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Mogosoaia lately — more wins on the board than Urban Titu.
  • Progresul Mogosoaia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Urban Titu have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 20%
Urban Titu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Mogosoaia Urban Titu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Urban Titu
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Urban Titu
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Urban Titu vs Progresul Mogosoaia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Mogosoaia 49 / 100
Urban Titu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Mogosoaia Urban Titu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Mogosoaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urban Titu has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Progresul Mogosoaia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Progresul Mogosoaia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Mogosoaia VS Urban Titu
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Mogosoaia

(Home)
26 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 3
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
23 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
Progresul Mogosoaia
19 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
0 : 3
Din. Bucuresti 2
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 0
Voluntari 2
Page 1 of 6

Urban Titu

(Away)
26 Sept
Progresul Draganesti
2 : 2
Urban Titu
23 Sept
Urban Titu
0 : 0
Viitorul Corbeanca
19 Sept
Tunari
3 : 0
Urban Titu
11 Sept
Urban Titu
3 : 0
Paulesti
04 Sept
Flacara Moreni
5 : 0
Urban Titu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flacara Moreni 22 16 4 2 53:19 52
2 Stefanesti 22 15 4 3 54:26 49
3 Olimpic Zarnesti 22 12 6 4 59:37 42
4 Urban Titu 22 8 5 9 30:37 29
5 Tricolorul Breaza 22 8 4 10 27:37 28
6 CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 22 7 7 8 26:38 28
7 CSM Sacele 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
8 Baicoi 22 6 7 9 24:33 25
9 Progresul Mogosoaia 22 7 3 12 30:34 24
10 AS Vointa Crevedia 22 6 5 11 24:35 23
11 Kids Tampa Brasov 22 6 5 11 28:40 23
12 FC Pucioasa 22 6 2 14 29:39 20
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)