Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Spartac vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Spartac in this Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Spartac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Progresul Spartac
30%
Draws
52%
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCM Dunarea Giurgiu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Progresul Spartac have won more games recently than SCM Dunarea Giurgiu.
  • SCM Dunarea Giurgiu are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Progresul Spartac have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 16%
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu vs Progresul Spartac
1:0
May 9, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
4:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
4:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu vs Progresul Spartac
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Spartac vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 23 / 100
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac SCM Dunarea Giurgiu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCM Dunarea Giurgiu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Progresul Spartac found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: SCM Dunarea Giurgiu conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Progresul Spartac stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
3.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
26 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
FCSB 2
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1
Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 7

SCM Dunarea Giurgiu

(Away)
26 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 1
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2 : 2
Oxigen Bucuresti
04 Sept
LPS HD Clinceni
1 : 3
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Page 1 of 6