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Prospera Criciuma vs Hercilio Luz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Catarinense 2 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Catarinense 2 2020 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Prospera Criciuma
15%
Draws
78%
Hercilio Luz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hercilio Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Hercilio Luz have won more games recently than Prospera Criciuma.
  • Hercilio Luz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hercilio Luz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hercilio Luz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Prospera Criciuma Clean Sheet 13%
Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prospera Criciuma Hercilio Luz
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 7 21
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.73 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2022 Catarinense
Prospera Criciuma vs Hercilio Luz
0:1
Feb 28, 2021 Catarinense
Hercilio Luz vs Prospera Criciuma
2:3
Dec 20, 2020 Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz vs Prospera Criciuma
0:2
Dec 16, 2020 Catarinense 2
Prospera Criciuma vs Hercilio Luz
0:0
Nov 25, 2020 Catarinense 2
Prospera Criciuma vs Hercilio Luz
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prospera Criciuma 10 / 100
Hercilio Luz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prospera Criciuma Hercilio Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercilio Luz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercilio Luz let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Prospera Criciuma found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Prospera Criciuma went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hercilio Luz
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Prospera Criciuma

(Home)
16 Jul
Prospera Criciuma
1 : 2
FC Cascavel
10 Jul
Aimore
1 : 0
Prospera Criciuma
04 Jul
Prospera Criciuma
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
26 Jun
Marcilio Dias
2 : 0
Prospera Criciuma
20 Jun
Prospera Criciuma
1 : 3
Azuriz
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Hercilio Luz

(Away)
26 Sept
Hercilio Luz
2 : 1
Nacao
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Hercilio Luz
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Prospera Criciuma 2
Hercilio Luz 0