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Stadium Background

Provadia vs Dve Mogili

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Provadia
15%
Draws
0%
Dve Mogili
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Provadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Provadia average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Dve Mogili's 0.71.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Provadia Clean Sheet 20%
Dve Mogili Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provadia Dve Mogili
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 4
Draws 1 4
Losses 25 23
Goals Scored 1 0.71
Goals Conceded 3.63 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Dve Mogili
2:1
Nov 9, 2014 Third League - North-East
Dve Mogili vs Provadia
0:1
May 4, 2014 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Dve Mogili
0:0
Oct 20, 2013 Third League - North-East
Dve Mogili vs Provadia
6:0
May 10, 2013 Third League - North-East
Dve Mogili vs Provadia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provadia 32 / 100
Dve Mogili 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provadia Dve Mogili

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dve Mogili conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Dve Mogili has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Provadia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dve Mogili
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Provadia

(Home)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
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Dve Mogili

(Away)
22 May
Himik Devnya
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
15 May
Dve Mogili
0 : 3
Benkovski Byala
08 May
Kubrat
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
30 Apr
Dve Mogili
0 : 3
Svetkavitsa
23 Apr
Shumen 1929
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
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