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Provadia vs Septemvri Tervel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2013/2014 game between Provadia and Septemvri Tervel finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Tervel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Provadia
20%
Draws
63%
Septemvri Tervel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Tervel come out ahead of Provadia on wins alone.
  • Septemvri Tervel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Septemvri Tervel have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Provadia Clean Sheet 11%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provadia Septemvri Tervel
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 22
Draws 1 4
Losses 25 3
Goals Scored 1 2.72
Goals Conceded 3.63 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2015 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Septemvri Tervel
2:3
Sep 7, 2014 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Provadia
5:1
Apr 5, 2014 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Septemvri Tervel
1:3
Sep 22, 2013 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Provadia
3:0
Mar 31, 2013 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Provadia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provadia 10 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provadia Septemvri Tervel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Provadia scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Septemvri Tervel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Provadia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Septemvri Tervel
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Provadia

(Home)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
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Septemvri Tervel

(Away)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
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