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Provincial vs Nautico Hacoaj

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nautico Hacoaj in this Torneo Promocional Amateur matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nautico Hacoaj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Provincial
28%
Draws
50%
Nautico Hacoaj
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nautico Hacoaj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nautico Hacoaj lately — more wins on the board than Provincial.
  • Win probability leans Nautico Hacoaj's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%
Nautico Hacoaj Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provincial Nautico Hacoaj
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Nautico Hacoaj
0:0
Sep 26, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Nautico Hacoaj
0:5
Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Nautico Hacoaj vs Provincial
3:0
Aug 3, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Nautico Hacoaj vs Provincial
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Nautico Hacoaj
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provincial 22 / 100
Nautico Hacoaj 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provincial Nautico Hacoaj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Provincial scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Nautico Hacoaj let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Provincial stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Provincial VS Nautico Hacoaj
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Provincial72057:126
7Atletico Pilar71155:124
8Juventud de Bernal71064:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Uribelarrea83325:312
4Ezeiza83327:712
5Belgrano Zarate82424:410
6Buenos Aires City82336:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos82245:78
9Las Mandarinas82246:108