Sport Picks
Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 
Match Events
10'
10'
Barroso J.
40'
40'
Caporaletti D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juventud de Bernal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Provincial have won more games recently than Juventud de Bernal.
- Model gives Juventud de Bernal a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Provincial Clean Sheet 14%
Juventud de Bernal Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Provincial | Juventud de Bernal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal
1:2
Jul 14, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Provincial
0:4
Sep 8, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Provincial
2:1
Sep 3, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Provincial Compare
Top Goalscorer Caporaletti D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Juventud de Bernal Compare
Top Goalscorer Barroso J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Provincial 10 / 100
Juventud de Bernal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Provincial Juventud de Bernal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Juventud de Bernal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Juventud de Bernal has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Provincial scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Juventud de Bernal registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Provincial VS Juventud de Bernal
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Provincial
(Home) 05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1 Provincial
22 Aug
Provincial
0 : 4 Defensores de Glew
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0 Provincial
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0 Provincial
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
22 Aug
Provincial
0 : 4 Defensores de Glew
05 Aug
Provincial
0 : 5 Deportivo Metalurgico
05 Jul
Provincial
0 : 3 Nautico Hacoaj
20 Jun
Provincial
1 : 0 Atletico Pilar
Page 1 of 3
Juventud de Bernal
(Away) 05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
01 Sept
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2 Estrella de Berisso
22 Aug
Deportivo Metalurgico
7 : 0 Juventud de Bernal
19 Aug
Juventud de Bernal
0 : 3 Social Atletico Television
11 Aug
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2 Atletico Pilar
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
22 Aug
Deportivo Metalurgico
7 : 0 Juventud de Bernal
01 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
2 : 0 Juventud de Bernal
06 Jul
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
20 Jun
Social Atletico Television
1 : 0 Juventud de Bernal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ezeiza | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Social Atletico Television | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Defensores de Glew | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:12 | 17 |
| 4 | Belgrano Zarate | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Estrella de Berisso | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Atletico Pilar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4:19 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Barrancas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Nautico Hacoaj | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Everton La Plata | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 5 | Provincial | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 6 | Juventud de Bernal | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)
