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Provo vs Smederevo Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Provo in this Srpska Liga - West 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Provo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Provo
20%
Draws
42%
Smederevo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Smederevo have won more games recently than Provo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Provo Clean Sheet 15%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provo Smederevo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2019 Srpska Liga - West
Provo vs Smederevo
0:0
Oct 13, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Smederevo vs Provo
1:2
May 6, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Provo vs Smederevo
2:0
Oct 11, 2017 Srpska Liga - West
Smederevo vs Provo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provo 31 / 100
Smederevo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provo Smederevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Provo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Smederevo has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Provo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Smederevo
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Provo

(Home)
09 Jun
Provo
1 : 1
Loznica
02 Jun
Sloga Pozega
2 : 0
Provo
26 May
Provo
4 : 1
FAP
18 May
Buducnost Krusik
0 : 0
Provo
12 May
Provo
1 : 0
Mokra Gora
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Smederevo

(Away)
26 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 0
Vrsac
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
05 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 3
Javor
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