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Przodkowo vs Starogard Gdanski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023
Sat, Sep 17, 2022
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Przodkowo host Starogard Gdanski in the III Liga - Group II 2022/2023. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Przodkowo at 1.77 goals for, 1.69 against; Starogard Gdanski at 1.27 for, 2.54 against. Past meetings favor Starogard Gdanski slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.29 vs 0.99, favoring Przodkowo. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Przodkowo
15%
Draws
49%
Starogard Gdanski
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Starogard Gdanski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Starogard Gdanski come out ahead of Przodkowo on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Przodkowo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Przodkowo Clean Sheet 20%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Przodkowo Starogard Gdanski
Matches Played 13 37
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 24
Goals Scored 1.77 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Przodkowo vs Starogard Gdanski
0:0
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Starogard Gdanski vs Przodkowo
3:1
Jun 18, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Przodkowo
4:2
Nov 13, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Przodkowo vs Starogard Gdanski
1:1
Jun 2, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Przodkowo vs Starogard Gdanski
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Przodkowo 85 / 100
Starogard Gdanski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Przodkowo Starogard Gdanski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Przodkowo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Przodkowo found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (13 games).

Starogard Gdanski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Starogard Gdanski lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Starogard Gdanski
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Przodkowo

(Home)
16 Jul
Starogard Gdanski
3 : 1
Przodkowo
08 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
3 : 0
Przodkowo
02 Jul
Stezyca
2 : 1
Przodkowo
18 Jun
Starogard Gdanski
4 : 2
Przodkowo
10 Jun
Przodkowo
4 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 3

Starogard Gdanski

(Away)
21 Feb
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 1
Cartusia Kartuzy
28 Jan
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 4
Starogard Gdanski
08 Jun
Swinoujscie
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
30 May
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 2
Unia Solec Kujawski
25 May
Elana Torun
3 : 0
Starogard Gdanski
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ol. Grudziadz 34 23 7 4 73:18 76
2 Pogon Szczecin II 34 20 9 5 69:25 69
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 4 10 75:54 64
4 Zawisza 34 19 5 10 69:45 62
5 Gedania Gdansk 34 19 4 11 63:59 61
6 Starogard Gdanski 34 17 8 9 44:35 59
7 Swit Szczecin 34 16 7 11 61:41 55
8 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 16 6 12 51:46 54
9 Kleczew 34 14 5 15 53:48 47
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 11 11 12 37:42 44
11 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 10 13 37:40 43
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 10 12 12 46:45 42
13 Stolem Gniewino 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
14 Vineta Wolin 34 8 11 15 47:66 35
15 Unia Solec Kujawski 34 9 8 17 40:59 35
16 Jarocin 34 9 6 19 41:69 33
17 B. Gdynia 34 8 4 22 43:70 28
18 Unia Janikowo 34 2 4 28 17:85 10
19 Przodkowo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)