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PS Kemi vs MuSa

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2019 Sauvosaaren Urheilupuisto, Kemi
Sat, Feb 9, 2019
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Suomen Cup 2019. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: PS Kemi at 0.77 goals for, 1.62 against; MuSa at 1.45 for, 2.48 against. Head-to-head, PS Kemi have won 0 to MuSa's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.79 - 1.24) back MuSa to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
PS Kemi
20%
Draws
36%
MuSa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PS Kemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MuSa come out ahead of PS Kemi on wins alone.
  • PS Kemi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • MuSa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
PS Kemi Clean Sheet 19%
MuSa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PS Kemi MuSa
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.77 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2019 Suomen Cup
PS Kemi vs MuSa
0:0
Feb 11, 2018 Suomen Cup
MuSa vs PS Kemi
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PS Kemi 85 / 100
MuSa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PS Kemi MuSa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PS Kemi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MuSa conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

PS Kemi scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

PS Kemi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS MuSa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PS Kemi

(Home)
27 Oct
Lahti
1 : 2
PS Kemi
21 Oct
PS Kemi
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Oct
PS Kemi
0 : 2
Inter Turku
29 Sept
Ilves
4 : 0
PS Kemi
22 Sept
PS Kemi
0 : 2
VPS
Page 1 of 6

MuSa

(Away)
18 Sept
GrIFK
1 : 1
MuSa
12 Sept
MuSa
1 : 1
EBK
04 Sept
NJS
4 : 0
MuSa
22 Aug
NJS
1 : 2
MuSa
15 Aug
MuSa
0 : 4
EBK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honka 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
2 Inter Turku 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
3 Lahti 5 3 0 2 6:7 9
4 Mariehamn 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
5 HJK 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
6 HIFK 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilves 5 4 1 0 12:4 13
2 VPS 5 3 0 2 5:6 9
3 KPV Kokkola 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 RoPS Rovaniemi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
5 SJK 5 0 2 3 7:10 2
6 KuPS 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Oulu 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
2 Haka 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 MuSa 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
4 MyPa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
5 Jaro 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
6 PS Kemi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TPV 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
2 KTP 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 TPS 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
4 AC Kajaani 4 2 0 2 5:12 6
5 Ekenas IF 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)