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PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Maguwoharjo Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Lestusen M.
46'
Sub
Rustam T. In: Lestaluhu A.
Out: Rustam T.
51' Event
da Silva D.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between PSBS Biak Numfor and Malut United finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malut United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
PSBS Biak Numfor
6%
Draws
90%
Malut United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malut United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Malut United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malut United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Malut United here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%
Malut United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSBS Biak Numfor Malut United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United
0:7
Jan 4, 2026 Super League
Malut United vs PSBS Biak Numfor
6:2
Apr 18, 2025 Super League
Malut United vs PSBS Biak Numfor
1:1
Dec 2, 2024 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSBS Biak Numfor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Malut United Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader David S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
Malut United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSBS Biak Numfor Malut United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Malut United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

PSBS Biak Numfor scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Malut United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSBS Biak Numfor VS Malut United
0.38 Goals Scored 2.25
3.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518