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PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSM Makassar

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Cendrawasih Stadium, Biak
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Match Events

43' Event
Pratama R.
Assist: Victor Luiz
45'
Medina Themopole J.
45'
Gledson

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between PSBS Biak Numfor and PSM Makassar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSM Makassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PSBS Biak Numfor
20%
Draws
80%
PSM Makassar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSM Makassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSM Makassar come out ahead of PSBS Biak Numfor on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on PSM Makassar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • PSM Makassar have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSBS Biak Numfor PSM Makassar
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.86 1.27
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSM Makassar
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs PSBS Biak Numfor
5:0
Jan 18, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs PSBS Biak Numfor
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSM Makassar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSBS Biak Numfor Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

PSM Makassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pratama R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gledson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
PSM Makassar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSBS Biak Numfor PSM Makassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSM Makassar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PSM Makassar conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

PSM Makassar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: PSBS Biak Numfor scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSBS Biak Numfor VS PSM Makassar
0.25 Goals Scored 1
5.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSBS Biak Numfor

(Home)
20 Sept
Persis Solo
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Sept
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Deltras Sidoarjo
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5
Arema FC
08 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Dewa United
Page 1 of 6

PSM Makassar

(Away)
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
06 Sept
Persib Bandung
3 : 1
PSM Makassar
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)