Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Mbaye I.
12'
12'
Pagis P.
Assist: Katseris P.
47'
47'
Hernandez L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSG
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to PSG lately — more wins on the board than Lorient.
- PSG are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
PSG Clean Sheet 14%
Lorient Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSG | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Ligue 1
PSG vs Lorient
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Lorient vs PSG
1:1
Apr 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Lorient vs PSG
1:4
Aug 12, 2023 Ligue 1
PSG vs Lorient
0:0
Apr 30, 2023 Ligue 1
PSG vs Lorient
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSG Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbaye I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zaire-Emery W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Lorient Compare
Top Goalscorer Pagis P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tosin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSG 39 / 100
Lorient 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSG Lorient
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: PSG scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Lorient has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
PSG went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
PSG VS Lorient
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
PSG
(Home) 04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2 Monaco
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2 PSG
16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0 PSG
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2 Monaco
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1 Aston Villa
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1 Manchester United
30 May
PSG
2 : 1 Arsenal
10 May
PSG
1 : 0 Brest
Page 1 of 4
Lorient
(Away) 05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1 Lorient
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2 Troyes
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0 Lorient
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1 Lorient
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1 Lorient
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1 Lorient
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0 Lorient
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1 Lorient
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1 Lorient
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2 Lorient
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
