Sport Picks
Match Events
53'
53'
Sub
Lee Kang-In In: Doue D.
Out: Lee Kang-In
61'
61'
Sub
Ramos G. In: Dembele O.
Out: Ramos G.
61'
61'
Sub
Ruiz F. In: Kvaratskhelia K.
Out: Ruiz F.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between PSG and Brest finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSG
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and PSG come out ahead of Brest on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on PSG taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors PSG here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
PSG Clean Sheet 68%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSG | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs PSG
0:1
May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
PSG vs Brest
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs PSG
0:3
Feb 19, 2025 Champions League
PSG vs Brest
7:0
Feb 11, 2025 Champions League
Brest vs PSG
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSG Compare
Top Goalscorer Doue D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Brest Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSG 95 / 100
Brest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSG Brest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSG scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Brest let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
PSG went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
PSG VS Brest
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
PSG
(Home) 20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2 PSG
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1 PSG
09 Sept
PSG
6 : 1 Slovan Bratislava
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2 Monaco
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
PSG
6 : 1 Slovan Bratislava
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2 Monaco
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1 Aston Villa
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1 Manchester United
30 May
PSG
2 : 1 Arsenal
Page 1 of 3
Brest
(Away) 03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2 Monza
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1 Brest
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1 PSG
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2 Brest
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1 Brest
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2 Brest
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2 Brest
16 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 0 Brest
05 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 2 Brest
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
