Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSIM Yogyakarta vs Madura United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Mandala Krida Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSIM Yogyakarta play Madura United in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, PSIM Yogyakarta averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Madura United averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, PSIM Yogyakarta won 2, Madura United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for PSIM Yogyakarta and 1.31 for Madura United. This points to a PSIM Yogyakarta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
PSIM Yogyakarta
28%
Draws
27%
Madura United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: PSIM Yogyakarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • PSIM Yogyakarta picked up more points recently compared to Madura United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
PSIM Yogyakarta Clean Sheet 18%
Madura United Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSIM Yogyakarta Madura United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Madura United
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSIM Yogyakarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidal E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iqbal M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Madura United Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior Brandao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSIM Yogyakarta 44 / 100
Madura United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSIM Yogyakarta Madura United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: PSIM Yogyakarta or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PSIM Yogyakarta attacking → ← attacking Madura United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSIM Yogyakarta scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Madura United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

PSIM Yogyakarta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Madura United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 31
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518