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PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Mandala Krida Stadium, Yogyakarta
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSIM Yogyakarta host PSM Makassar in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. PSIM Yogyakarta have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against PSM Makassar's 1.28 scored and 1.69 conceded. Head-to-head, PSIM Yogyakarta have won 0 to PSM Makassar's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.25) back PSIM Yogyakarta to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
PSIM Yogyakarta
30%
Draws
23%
PSM Makassar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSIM Yogyakarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • PSM Makassar's 1.28 goals per match outpaces what PSIM Yogyakarta have produced (1.21).
  • Model gives PSIM Yogyakarta a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
PSIM Yogyakarta Clean Sheet 19%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSIM Yogyakarta PSM Makassar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Super League
PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSIM Yogyakarta 42 / 100
PSM Makassar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSIM Yogyakarta PSM Makassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

PSIM Yogyakarta scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: PSM Makassar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSIM Yogyakarta VS PSM Makassar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSIM Yogyakarta

(Home)
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 1
Persita
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1
Madura United
Page 1 of 6

PSM Makassar

(Away)
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
06 Sept
Persib Bandung
3 : 1
PSM Makassar
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Madura United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 8:4 5
8 FC Bhayangkara 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
9 Persita 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
10 Persebaya 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)