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PSIS Semarang vs Persela Lamongan Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Jatidiri Stadium, Semarang
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Agung T.
15' Event
Hambali M.
Assist: Utomo P. R.
18'
Simanca A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
PSIS Semarang
20%
Draws
52%
Persela Lamongan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persela Lamongan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • PSIS Semarang haven't matched Persela Lamongan's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Persela Lamongan taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
PSIS Semarang Clean Sheet 10%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSIS Semarang Persela Lamongan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.96 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.64 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs Persela Lamongan
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs Persela Lamongan
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs PSIS Semarang
1:1
Mar 29, 2022 Super League
Persela Lamongan vs PSIS Semarang
1:2
Sep 4, 2021 Super League
PSIS Semarang vs Persela Lamongan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSIS Semarang Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Persela Lamongan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hambali M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSIS Semarang 10 / 100
Persela Lamongan 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSIS Semarang Persela Lamongan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persela Lamongan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSIS Semarang's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: PSIS Semarang stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Persela Lamongan conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

PSIS Semarang VS Persela Lamongan
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSIS Semarang

(Home)
03 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0
Bekasi City
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSIS Semarang
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2
PSIS Semarang
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 6

Persela Lamongan

(Away)
04 Oct
PS Barito Putera
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0
Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)